The lessons learned Forty years ago is valuable for Indians. The defeat of the Indian Army by the Chinese People’s Liberation Army during the 1962 Sino-Indian war was not only bitter, but was humiliating. It was a huge awakening to the new and young nation that was built on the principles of Non Violence. The inexperience of the then Defense Minister Krishna Menon (Our current Defense Minister A.K. Antony also hails from the same home state) and the ‘Hindi-Chini bhai bhai‘ sentiment turned to be costly mistakes for India. After the defeat, India claimed that China was occupying about 33,000 square kilometers of its territory in the Aksai Chin region of Ladakh. However, immediately after the war, China made it clear that the dispute is not over. Despite occupying Aksai Chin, it claimed that India is occupying 90,000 square kilometers (the entire state of Arunachal Pradesh) of its territory. To this day China has maintained that Arunachal Pradesh is actually South Tibet and belongs to China. You may recollect how China refused issuing Visa to a Indian official from Arunachal Pradesh intending to visit China, under the pretext that one needs no Visa to travel within the country.
While there have been several treaties between India and China since 1962, the two countries have not only moved ahead, but have prospected on economic cooperation too. However the recent deployment of large Indian troops in the North East has irked the Chinese officials. The Indian governor of Arunachal Pradesh J.J. Singh last week announced the deploying of 30,000 soldiers of two Army divisions along the disputed border. He said the move was intended to “meet future security challenges” from China. Meanwhile, Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh claimed that, despite cooperative India-China relations, his government would make no concessions to China on territorial disputes.
China and India have both seen tremendous growth during the recent decades. While China boasts of its overall growth and political stability, they endorse the rapid Indian advancements in the Information Technology sector. It was even reported few years back that the Chinese sent secret delegations to Bangalore to study and emulate the Indian success. While India was able to reap its success in the BPO and support services sector largely because of its English speaking population, China on the other hand established itself as a manufacturing hub taking advantage of its cheap labor. Its hard to refuse the fact that the political stability in both these nations has been the underlying factor to this growth and prosperity.
Global Risk Analysis – China India chartbook
Both China and India have a vested interest in preserving this stability to sustain their growth. While a confrontation between the two nations may not be at the best interest of either nations, it becomes important to formulate tactical strategies to safeguard the territories. The Indian move to deploy troops along its border can be seen as one. A good one indeed. While the intent may not be to engage in a confrontational mode, it establishes the fact that India is strongly committed to protecting its boundaries. The reaction from China has been sharp indeed.
Global Times a popular English news paper from China reported:
“India’s current course can only lead to a rivalry between the two countries. India needs to consider whether or not it can afford the consequences of a potential confrontation with China. It should also be asking itself why it hasn’t forged the stable and friendly relationship with China that China enjoys with many of India’s neighbors, like Pakistan, Nepal and Sri Lanka.”
The People’s Daily – official newspaper of the Chinese Communist Party, said in an editorial that a decision to move more troops to the border would lead to a rivalry between the two countries, and asked the Indian government to consider “whether or not it can afford the consequences of a potential confrontation with China.”
While India realizes that the proportionate militarily strengths of both the nations has not changed much from what existed during the 1962 war, it is taking note that the global scenario is different. The following opinion from the Global Times editorial suggests that India is not without options.
“Indian politicians these days seem to think their country would be doing China a huge favor simply by not joining the “ring around China” established by the US and Japan.”
By making its first move, India has gained the advantage in this war of strategies as it has now forced China to show restraint in view of preserving the regional “stability” which is crucial for the growth of both nations. Some might argue that China is indeed ahead in the game as it has established its strategic “String of pearls” bases in Burma, Sri Lanka and Pakistan. However, striking India may most likely not be in China’s agenda or strategy as it would be detrimental to China and possibly disrupt or derail its own economic growth. Confrontation, hence becomes the last option for both China and India.
Unlike with its other neighbors Pakistan and Sri Lanka where India has always been taken for a ride, India sees itself in an enviable position now – only as long it is able to balance the rope-walk.
Written by Sunderapandyan
Filed under: Asia, Aksai Chin, Arunachal Pradesh, CHINA, India, Tibet, Troops Build Up