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Insight into South Asia

Indian troops in border – A tactical advantage over China

The lessons learned Forty years ago is valuable for Indians. The defeat of the Indian Army by the Chinese People’s Liberation Army during the 1962 Sino-Indian war was not only bitter, but was humiliating. It was a huge awakening to the new and young nation that was built on the principles of Non Violence. The inexperience of the then Defense Minister Krishna Menon (Our current Defense Minister A.K. Antony also hails from the same home state) and the ‘Hindi-Chini bhai bhai‘ sentiment turned to be costly mistakes for India. After the defeat, India claimed that China was occupying about 33,000 square kilometers of its territory in the Aksai Chin region of Ladakh. However, immediately after the war, China made it clear that the dispute is not over. Despite occupying Aksai Chin, it claimed that India is occupying 90,000 square kilometers (the entire state of Arunachal Pradesh) of its territory. To this day China has maintained that Arunachal Pradesh is actually South Tibet and belongs to China. You may recollect how China refused issuing Visa to a Indian official from Arunachal Pradesh intending to visit China, under the pretext that one needs no Visa to travel within the country.

China recently vetoed plans for an Asian Development Bank loan to India for development of the Arunachal Pradesh region

While there have been several treaties between India and China since 1962, the two countries have not only moved ahead, but have prospected on economic cooperation too. However the recent deployment of large Indian troops in the North East has irked the Chinese officials. The Indian governor of Arunachal Pradesh J.J. Singh last week announced the deploying of 30,000 soldiers of two Army divisions along the disputed border. He said the move was intended to “meet future security challenges” from China. Meanwhile, Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh claimed that, despite cooperative India-China relations, his government would make no concessions to China on territorial disputes.

China and India have both seen tremendous growth during the recent decades. While China boasts of its overall growth and political stability, they endorse the rapid Indian advancements in the Information Technology sector. It was even reported few years back that the Chinese sent secret delegations to Bangalore to study and emulate the Indian success. While India was able to reap its success in the BPO and support services sector largely because of its English speaking population, China on the other hand established itself as a manufacturing hub taking advantage of its cheap labor. Its hard to refuse the fact that the political stability in both these nations has been the underlying factor to this growth and prosperity.

Global Risk Analysis – China India chartbook

Both China and India have a vested interest in preserving this stability to sustain their growth. While a confrontation between the two nations may not be at the best interest of either nations, it becomes important to formulate tactical strategies to safeguard the territories. The Indian move to deploy troops along its border can be seen as one. A good one indeed. While the intent may not be to engage in a confrontational mode, it establishes the fact that India is strongly committed to protecting its boundaries. The reaction from China has been sharp indeed.

Global Times a popular English news paper from China reported:

“India’s current course can only lead to a rivalry between the two countries. India needs to consider whether or not it can afford the consequences of a potential confrontation with China. It should also be asking itself why it hasn’t forged the stable and friendly relationship with China that China enjoys with many of India’s neighbors, like Pakistan, Nepal and Sri Lanka.”

Aksai Chin and Arunachal Pradesh (in Pink). Courtesy: en.chinaelections.org

The People’s Daily – official newspaper of the Chinese Communist Party, said in an editorial that a decision to move more troops to the border would lead to a rivalry between the two countries, and asked the Indian government to consider “whether or not it can afford the consequences of a potential confrontation with China.”

While India realizes that the proportionate militarily strengths of both the nations has not changed much from what existed during the 1962 war, it is taking note that the global scenario is different. The following opinion from the Global Times editorial suggests that India is not without options.

“Indian politicians these days seem to think their country would be doing China a huge favor simply by not joining the “ring around China” established by the US and Japan.”

By making its first move, India has gained the advantage in this war of strategies as it has now forced China to show restraint in view of preserving the regional “stability” which is crucial for the growth of both nations. Some might argue that China is indeed ahead in the game as it has established its strategic “String of pearls” bases in Burma, Sri Lanka and Pakistan. However, striking India may most likely not be in China’s agenda or strategy as it would be detrimental to China and possibly disrupt or derail its own economic growth. Confrontation, hence becomes the last option for both China and India.

Unlike with its other neighbors Pakistan and Sri Lanka where India has always been taken for a ride, India sees itself in an enviable position now – only as long it is able to balance the rope-walk.

Written by Sunderapandyan

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Filed under: Asia, , , , , ,

2 Responses

  1. varun says:

    Yea um. No.

    China is well ahead of India when it comes to safeguarding its regional geopolitical interests.

    India has the advantage of democracy that will play well in the West, but holds less resonance in Asia.

    Either way, any real confrontation is decades away. How interests are managed over the next decade will provide insights on Asian supremacy. Until then speculation is pretty pointless.

  2. Well written!!! The Chinese threat is completely underplayed by the “mainstream media” scoundrels. It’s not a surprise since many of them are in the direct pay of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) crooks, like the sewer journalist N.Ram of The (C)hindu.

    The fact remains that there is absolutely NO space for BOTH China and India to play a “dominant role” in a so-called “Asian century”. There is space only for ONE of these heavily overpopulated, glaringly backward (in terms of quality of life, HDI, wealth distribution etc.), culturally and socially primitive (female foeticide/infanticide) Third-World countries.

    A second confrontration is INEVITABLE. The second one will be much, much bigger than the first one (a mere border war). It’s NOT a question of if, but WHEN!

    It’s here that the Chinese have proven that they are way, way ahead. It’s not because India is at a disadvantage. It’s because successive Indian governments were and are, run by a bunch of morons, highly-corrupt idiots and senile, incompetent fools – the bureaucratic scum beings in the foreign and defence ministries and their lowly political masters. With creatures like these incharge of making decisions, the Chinese do not need a fifth column at all. Why do they need to worry too much about an enemy when that enemy is busy digging his own grave? This is evident to any person who is literate.

    Let’s be frank here – the so-called “peaceful rise” of China is a ridiculous myth, a bunch of lies perpetrated by lowly yellow journalists in the direct pay of the Chinese government (like N. Ram and gang) or indirect control (like Prannoy Roy and gang, Rajdeep Sardesai and gang etc.) Any literate person would be aware that China is preparing herself to dominate not just Asia, but the WHOLE WORLD. It includes political, economic and industrial dominance over other continents and military, strategic and tactical dominance over almost the whole of Asia.

    Africa will be the first continent to become the neo-colony of China. The Africans got rid of the European colonisers with great effort, only to let corrupt dictators and tyrants ruin them again. Sadly, neither the European colonists nor the home-grown African tyrants and dictators are going to harm Africa and her people as much as their future coloniser – the People’s Republic of China (PRC) will. The already poor people of Africa are going to be driven to utter destitution and their continent (which is rich with minerals and other natural resources) is going to be looted clean by the notorious Dragon. Hand-in-hand with notoriously corrupt tyrants and military dictators, the Chinese are going to rob Africans blind. The colonisation has already begun and is moving forward at a rapid pace.

    This is going to have disastrous effects for not just Africa, but for Europe as well. The boatloads of African “economic refugees” sailing across the Mediterranean will become shiploads in the not-too-distant future. Couple that with a falling native European population, the slow Islamisation of Europe (think of possible sharia law in Britain) and resulting growth of far-right parties in Western Europe and the situation doesn’t look good. In the resulting chaos racial, cultural, social and religious tensions will explode, leading to routine violence (the riots in French cities were just the beginning of much more violence to come). That is how Europe is going to fall from its number one spot. The world’s most developed continent will slowly be reduced to Third-World standards due to problems elsewhere.

    Australia will face similar problems but not to the same extent as Europe while the smaller islands of Oceania may be overwhelmed directly by Chinese naval power. With a huge, mineral rich landmass and a declining population to inhabit it, Russia is also in the sights of the Dragon. Siberia will be obtained by demographic aggression and Central Asian Republics will be conquered by the Dragon once Russia falls.

    Latin America will also come under Chinese influence, but they won’t suffer too much. North America will fall due to manufactured “economic crises” coupled with the complete shifting of the industrial base to China and the effects of things like these.

    However, the most violent fate is reserved for Asia. The notorious Dragon has border disputes with all of its neighbours (with the exception of client states like North Korea and Pakistan) and has fought wars with or engaged in subversive acivities in many of them. The smaller countries will either succumb without much resistance to the Dragon’s firepower or the countries will be handed on a platter to the Chinese by filthy criminal tyrants like the Rajapaksa rogues. Though India is not likely to fall by these two methods, it cannot be ruled out. It is well known that the highly-corrupt, notoriously incompetent bureacratic barbarians and politicians running the central government and the disgusting “mainstream media” can be purchased for a few sackloads of money. The more likely option for China to achieve her goal of total direct dominance over Asia and indirect control of the whole world is by delivering a short, lethal and devastating military defeat that will crush any hopes India may have had of trying to play a part in the so-called “Asian century”. With the entire world brought under its direct or indirect control, China will then go on to exploit the mineral resources of the only continent left – uninhabited Antarctica. With no one left to challenge the fire-breathing Dragon, a Pax Chinensis lorded over by a bunch of CCP tyrants and thugs in Beijing will get established throughout the world. This Pax Chinensis is what lowly Chinese shills like N.Ram and Prannoy Roy mean when they talk about the so-called “peaceful rise” of China but Pax Chinensis will be achieved by war and direct colonisation, at least in Asia and Africa.

    Let’s make no mistake, the Chinese have made it quite clear that the so-called “Asian century” is nothing but an euphemism for “Chinese century”. In fact, the Chinese don’t even seem to think that Indians are “Asians” – a term which is reserved for people from East Asia and South-East Asia but not for those from South Asia or West Asia (Middle East).

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